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President Donald Trump made the surprise announcement this week that the U.S., after weeks of intense strikes, will halt all bombing campaigns on the Houthis in Yemen – but experts have warned the Iran-backed group will not sit idle. 

In Trump’s Tuesday announcement from the Oval Office, he claimed the Houthis ‘just don’t want to fight…and we will honor that. We will stop the bombings.’

The president would not say who provided him with this confirmation by the terrorist network, which for years has attacked U.S. and allied ships in the Red Sea in a major threat to freedom of navigation, but in a laugh following the question, he replied that it came from a ‘very good source.’

Less than two hours later, Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi, the foreign minister of Oman, took to X to say, ‘Following recent discussions and contacts conducted by the Sultanate of Oman with the United States and the relevant authorities in Sana’a, in the Republic of Yemen, with the aim of de-escalation, efforts have resulted in a ceasefire agreement between the two sides.’

‘In the future, neither side will target the other, including American vessels, in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab Strait, ensuring freedom of navigation and the smooth flow of international commercial shipping,’ he added. 

The post suggests that Oman, which has also played an intermediary in the U.S.-Iran nuclear talks, was heavily involved in securing the ceasefire.

However, a new report obtained by Fox News Digital ahead of the president’s surprise announcement warns that the Trump administration must remain vigilant against major security threats posed by the Houthis and the international actors supporting the terrorist network.

The report, dubbed ‘The Houthi Challenge: Forging a Strategy to Defeat the Iran-Backed Terror Group in Yemen’ by Ari Heistein for the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD) and research fellow at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security, highlighted that it is not only Iran that have helped facilitate the Houthi operational capabilities. 

While Tehran has backed the Houthis since at least 2014 – and possibly as early as 2009 during the war in Yemen – through training and advanced weapons like ballistic missiles, Oman has also played a role by allowing the group to operate from its territory and serving as a key smuggling route for Iranian arms.

Jonathan Schanzer, a former terrorism finance analyst at the U.S. Department of the Treasury and the current executive director of the FDD, called Oman’s role in negotiations between Washington and Middle East adversaries ‘outrageous.’ 

‘To hold them up as responsible intermediaries when they are in fact hosting the very group that we’re trying to dismantle, there’s very little logic [in] this position,’ he told Fox News Digital.

The report found that Iranian arms are smuggled into Yemen through the port of Hodeidah – which was targeted in a series of Israeli strikes on major infrastructure in and around the Houthi-controlled capital of Sana’a this week – but also through smaller ports or overland through Oman.

Omani private banking institutions and businesses are also reportedly known to be ‘servicing the Houthi economy and even supplying the group with arms.’ 

‘More must be done to prevent bulk cash smuggling across the border between Oman and Yemen,’ Heistein found. ‘Muscat must begin to feel pressure from the international community to address a threat finance challenge that has gone unchecked for too long.’

The report breaks down the varied steps that need to be taken to effectively undermine and counter the Houthis as repeated military strikes by first, Saudi Arabia starting in 2015, then recently by the U.S. and Israel, have not significantly degraded the terrorist group.

Those steps include continued military action – similar to Israel’s recent strikes on Yemen’s Hodeidah port and Sana’a International Airport, which are expected to have far-reaching economic impacts and increase internal pressure on the Houthis. But military action alone isn’t enough; economic, diplomatic, and other soft power strategies are also needed to weaken the group, according to the report. 

The report also highlighted that the Houthis have utilized previous lulls in fighting with nations like Saudi Arabia, the U.S. and Israel to regroup and rebuild. 

‘Compelling the Houthis to halt attacks on shipping is a meaningful achievement only if it is part of a broader, long-term strategy,’ Heistein told Fox News Digital. ‘However, if a Red Sea ceasefire becomes the centerpiece and endpoint of U.S. policy toward the Houthis, it risks empowering an increasingly dangerous regime to escalate and de-escalate at will.

 ‘Without a comprehensive approach to addressing the Houthi threat, the U.S. and its allies could soon be confronting a more dangerous, better-armed terrorist group,’ Heinstein warned. 

This post appeared first on FOX NEWS

A federal judge ruled on Monday that a class action lawsuit alleging that Burger King falsely advertised the size of its signature cheeseburger can move forward.

U.S. District Judge Roy K. Altman in Florida found ‘some’ merit to the plaintiff’s argument that the fast food chain advertised its Whopper cheeseburger and other menu items to appear bigger than they are.

An image of the Whopper burger from the lawsuit.District Court South Florida

Nineteen customers from 13 states sued Burger King in 2022, alleging that the burgers they advertised were ‘approximately 35% larger in size, and contain more than double the meat, than the actual burger.”

The lawsuit contains side-by-side images of the bright colored, larger-than-life burger advertisements next to the droopy images taken by customers.

‘Each of our Plaintiffs purchased BKC products at Burger King stores in their home states, and each came away disappointed by the incongruity between what they received and what they expected based on BKC’s advertisements,’ the lawsuit says.

Burger King sought to dismiss the lawsuit, but Altman on Monday stated that the plaintiff’s allegations ‘go beyond mere exaggeration or puffery.’

A spokesperson for Burger King said in a Monday statement that ‘the plaintiffs’ claims are false.’

‘The flame-grilled beef patties portrayed in our advertising are the same patties used in the millions of burgers we serve to Guests across the U.S.,’ the spokesperson added.

A lawyer representing the plaintiffs, Anthony Russo, said in a Monday statement that the plaintiffs were ‘pleased’ with the judge’s ruling and ‘are ready to move forward.’

A similar lawsuit against McDonald’s and Wendy’s was dismissed in September.

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Advanced Micro Devices CEO Lisa Su said China is a “large opportunity” market for the semiconductor and artificial intelligence industry even as export controls and evolving tariff plans loom over the world’s second-largest economy.

“There should be a balance between export controls for national security as well as ensuring that we get the widest possible adoption of our technology,” Su told CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street” on Wednesday. “That’s a good thing for U.S. jobs in the U.S. economy.”

She added that U.S. leadership in artificial intelligence and widespread adoption is the primary objective and a “really great position for us to be in.”

Su said there is a “balance to be played between” restricting and providing access to chips.

The comments come on the heels of the company’s fiscal first-quarter results. AMD topped earnings and expectations and issued strong guidance, but said it would see a $1.5 billion hit this year from China export controls. Last month, the company said it would incur up to $800 million in costs from shipping its MI308 products to China and other countries.

The U.S. government has cracked down on chip shipments to China in recent years, restricting the sale of more advanced AI processors to China that could be used to improve military capabilities and eat away at U.S. dominance.

President Donald Trump’s evolving tariff policies have added more turbulence to the sector in recent weeks, and many investors are combing for signs of demand pressure.

While AMD would “prefer a more certain environment,” Su said that the company is working to move manufacturing to the U.S. She added that the impact from tariffs on its portfolio is a minor blip and that the company saw “robust” sales in April.

“We’ve learned to become very agile through all of the things that have happened to the semiconductor supply chain, and we’re going to continue to watch all of these trends very carefully and make sure that we react appropriately going forward,” she said.

Other Ai chipmaking CEO have also called attention to the impact of chip restrictions in a rapidly expanding AI market. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told CNBC’s Jon Fortt on Tuesday that getting pushed out of the the country would be a “tremendous loss.”

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

National Basketball Association superstar Russell Westbrook is taking a shot off the court at simplifying funeral planning with artificial intelligence.

The famed Denver Nuggets point guard on Wednesday announced the launch of Eazewell, a startup that uses AI technology to streamline the process for coordinating funerals. Westbrook founded the venture with former Charlotte Hornets star Kemba Walker and childhood friend Donnell Beverly Jr., who serves as president of Russell Westbrook Enterprises and CEO and co-founder of Eazewell.

“My whole career, on and off the court, has been about stepping up decisively in the moments that matter most,” Westbrook wrote in a statement to CNBC. Westbrook and the Nuggets are currently facing the Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA Western Conference semifinals. “Eazewell is exactly that — a decisive solution to a very real problem.”

The Los Angeles-based company uses AI to curate funeral options catered to each user’s budgets and preferences. The platform assists with paperwork, budget planning, invitations and overlooked tasks such as canceling a deceased loved one’s utility bills and social media accounts. Eazewell currently has 11 employees and has already tested its beta platform with more than 1,000 families. 

Eazewell has not disclosed funding but has revenue agreements with partner services. The startup is also working on partnerships with finance and life insurance companies in the space. The service is free to use and does not have an ads component “at this stage,” a company spokesperson said.

“We’re trying to take the weight off people’s shoulders as much as we can, and make this process so much easier for people,” Walker told CNBC in a phone interview. Walker played college basketball with Beverly at the University of Connecticut.

Eazewell traces its origins to Westbrook and Beverly’s high school days, when their friend and basketball teammate Khelcey Barrs III passed away unexpectedly from an enlarged heart. Westbrook commemorates Barrs to this day by wearing a bracelet with the initials “KB3” in every NBA game he plays and on his signature Jordan Why Not Zer0.6 “Khelcey Barrs” shoe.

“It’s a reminder that life can change in an instant,” Westbrook said. “You don’t get to choose the moment, but you do get to choose how you respond.”

The experience left a lasting effect on the two friends, Beverly said, but it wasn’t until the death of Beverly’s parents that he experienced funeral planning hurdles firsthand. Beverly said the experience was “messy” and “grueling.”

Disillusioned and frustrated by the process after the death of his mother and father in 2016 and 2023, respectively, Beverly turned to his close friends to come up with the solution that became Eazewell.

“It just seems like the perfect time to really turn our shared pain into purpose,” Beverly said.

One of Eazewell’s most innovative features is its voice-activated AI agent that can gather cost quotes and call funeral homes on a user’s behalf.

Recent advancements in AI have only recently made it possible to automate tasks and create agents that can manage these jobs in an empathetic and compassionate manner, said Viviane Ghaderi, Eazewell’s tech chief and a former Amazon executive.

Stephen Stokols, an Eazewell investor and CEO of Tru Skye Ventures, an early-stage sports technology and wellness venture firm, said these “transformational” AI advancements helping bring the funeral industry out of the “dark ages” initially drew him to the project.

Walker said he hopes Eazewell can offer users the tools to navigate a topic that is not taught in school or early life.

“We know how important it is to have someone by your side to help with the details that come after a loss,” Westbrook said.

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Trump’s latest Hollywood “hit” isn’t the kind you stream.

Threatening to slap a 100% tariff on films produced in foreign countries, the president’s announcement rattled several media stocks like Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), Walt Disney Co. (DIS), and others.

What makes the whole thing complicated is this:

  • No clear-cut definition of “foreign”: Many “American” films are shot abroad with foreign crews, locations, and studios.
  • Tax breaks abroad: Studios rely on international incentives to cut costs—think Marvel in the UK or Netflix in Korea (Squid Game).
  • Global revenues: Delivering content overseas boosts subscriptions.
  • Disruption to current projects: In-progress shoots and cross-border production deals could face sudden delays, cancellations, or financial penalties.
  • And last but not least, retaliation risk. Countries may hit back with tariffs or restrictions on U.S. films, hurting global revenues.

The result? A policy that aims to protect American film could end up undercutting it from every angle.

Which Media Stocks Are Still Worth Holding?

With Trump’s proposed 100% tariff and the looming threat of retaliation, you’re probably wondering: Which media stocks are still investable—and which ones are caught in the crossfire?

Let’s focus on the platforms that most Americans stream at home.

  • Netflix (NFLX) is the most exposed to Trump’s tariffs due to its heavy investment in international productions.
  • Disney (DIS) is most vulnerable both ways—to the U.S. tariff and international retaliation—in that over 60% of its box office revenue is international; plus, it operates theme parks in China, Hong Kong, Japan, and Europe.
  • Roku (ROKU) appears to be the least exposed, as it’s a content aggregator and not a producer. The bulk of its revenue comes from advertising, subscriptions, and platform fees, not from producing or exporting content.

NOTE: I’m excluding Amazon (AMZN) in favor of pure-play media entertainment stocks. While Amazon is not as exposed to foreign film tariffs, it’s exposed to the other tariffs.

First, how are these stocks performing relative to each other and the broader market (S&P 500)?

FIGURE 1. PERFCHARTS DISPLAYING THE RELATIVE PERFORMANCE OF ALL THREE STOCKS VS THE S&P. Netflix is far outpacing its two media peers.

Among these three, which stocks are currently the most investable—that is, which ones are showing favorable price action that could support a viable trading setup?

Netflix Technical Analysis: Uptrend Intact, But Caution Ahead

Let’s start with NFLX—the company most fundamentally exposed to the proposed tariffs on foreign-made films. Check out this daily chart.

FIGURE 2. DAILY CHART OF NFLX STOCK. No tariff fears are evident here as the stock continues its uptrend.

NFLX stock remains in a strong uptrend, with a StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) well above the 90-line, making it one of the top-performing large-cap stocks from a technical perspective. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests the stock may be overbought, raising the possibility of a short-term pullback.

The  20-day Price Channel can help identify potential turning points since it highlights recent tops and bottoms. The green-shaded zone marks the first area of support, where a bounce may occur if the stock retreats in the coming sessions. If that level fails to hold, the red-shaded zone identifies a secondary support area aligned with the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). A drop below this level without a strong rebound could signal a weakening of the current bullish trend.

Caution: Among the three stocks analyzed, Netflix appears to be most exposed to potential downside from Trump’s proposed tariffs on foreign-made films. Investors should remain cautious, as shifting geopolitical dynamics could alter the stock’s fundamental outlook and technical setup.

Now let’s take a look at Disney, a stock vulnerable to Trump’s proposed 100% tariffs on foreign-made films and the added threat of retaliatory tariffs from international markets.

Disney’s Recovery Potential Faces Global Headwinds

With a significant portion of its revenue coming from global box office sales and international theme parks, DIS stock is particularly sensitive to shifts in global trade policy. Take a look at this daily chart.

FIGURE 3. DAILY CHART OF DISNEY STOCK PRICE. Oof. Even if it recovers, will we see a breakout beyond the top range?

Disney is underperforming, and the key question is whether the stock is entering a potential recovery phase. The Full Stochastics Oscillator tends to mirror the stock’s cyclical movements well and suggests a possible short-term pullback.

If DIS holds above its most recent swing low support range (highlighted in red), the stock may attempt to retest the resistance area (highlighted in green), which aligns with the 200-day SMA and the most recent swing high.

One bullish signal to note: the Accumulation/Distribution Line (ADL) (shown in orange) is significantly above current price levels, suggesting that buying interest may be quietly building even while the stock trades near its lows. Is DIS a solid buy? Probably not at these levels. You will want to see a stronger indication (or confirmation) that DIS is recovering.

Also, note that DIS has been cycling the $80 to $125 range over the last three years. Unless you’re holding it as a dividend stock, there’s little indication yet that there’s going to be growth beyond this exceedingly wide range.

Is Roku Ready to Break Out, or Break Down?

Let’s analyze the daily chart of Roku.

FIGURE 4. DAILY CHART OF ROKU STOCK. It’s gearing for a breakout, but driven by what?

ROKU may be the least exposed to the proposed foreign film tariffs, but what’s going to drive it higher? Remember, the stock plunged in 2022–2024 due to falling ad revenue, widening losses, and a high-profile cybersecurity breach that shook investor confidence. Without a clear reason for a rebound, the stock may remain stuck.

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is probably the most telling indicator here: buying and selling pressure are at a virtual standstill. There has to be a compelling catalyst to move the stock higher or lower. Still, ROKU appears to be rebounding from a technical standpoint, with overhead resistance levels at $71 and $82.

However, there needs to be something fundamental to validate this technical setup, especially if it turns bullish (like a break above resistance). So if for any reason you’re bullish on ROKU, monitor the fundamental side of this stock play. Right now, it doesn’t look very promising.

At the Close

Trump’s proposed tariff on foreign-made films has stirred up more than just Hollywood headlines; it’s forcing Wall Street to reassess risk across streaming and media stocks. Keep monitoring the technical, fundamental, and geopolitical factors. Don’t make any decisions until you see clear technical confirmation backed by a viable fundamental catalyst. And remember, geopolitical dynamics can still shift the conditions in an instant.


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

Triumph Gold (TSXV:TIG,OTC:TIGCF) is a Canadian gold exploration company well-positioned to benefit from a strengthening gold market. The company’s primary focus is advancing its 100 percent-owned Freegold Mountain Project, a district-scale property located in Yukon’s highly prospective Dawson Range gold-copper belt.

With defined multi-million ounce gold resources, significant potential for expansion, and promising discovery targets, Triumph Gold provides investors with exposure to a large, consolidated land package in one of Canada’s most mining-friendly jurisdictions.

The Freegold Mountain Project is Triumph Gold’s flagship asset — a district-scale property extending 34 kilometers along the highly mineralized Big Creek Fault system in Yukon. What sets this project apart is the widespread presence of mineralization across all major rock types on the property, including Paleozoic metamorphics, Jurassic intrusives, and Cretaceous intrusives. Each of these hosts distinct styles of precious and base metal mineralization, underscoring the project’s exceptional geological potential.

Company Highlights

  • Resource Base: Combined indicated resources of 1 million ounces and inferred resources of 1.08 million ounces gold equivalent across the Freegold Mountain project
  • Strategic Location: Positioned in the mineral-rich Dawson Range, home to major deposits including Newmont’s Coffee, Western Copper’s Casino, and Pembridge’s Minto mine
  • Multiple Deposit Types: Mineralization found in various forms (porphyry, epithermal, skarn) providing diversified exploration targets
  • Expansion Potential: All deposits remain open in multiple directions with numerous untested satellite targets
  • Fully Permitted: Exploration permits in place until 2025-2026 allowing for extensive drilling programs
  • Experienced Leadership: Management team with proven track records in mineral exploration, mine development and capital markets

This Triumph Gold profile is part of a paid investor education campaign.*

Click here to connect with Triumph Gold (TSXV:TIG) to receive an Investor Presentation

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Joe Cavatoni, senior market strategist, Americas, at the World Gold Council, discusses the organization’s latest report on gold demand trends, highlight key data points from Q1.

He also shares his thoughts on gold’s record-setting rise, saying fundamentals remain strong.

Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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The global pharmaceutical market reached a total value of US$1.38 trillion in 2024, according to Research and Markets, up significantly from the US$888 billion seen just over a decade earlier in 2010.

Experienced and novice investors alike may want to consider pharmaceutical exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as a way to gain exposure to the top pharma companies. Like all ETFs, pharmaceutical ETFs are a good option for those who want to trade a set of assets in the pharmaceutical industry instead of focusing solely on individual pharmaceutical stocks.

The main advantage of a pharmaceutical ETF is the fact that it can provide exposure to an overarching sector, but still trades like a stock. Pharma ETFs also offer less market volatility and lower fees and expenses.

Big pharma ETFs

Many of these funds have diverse holdings across some of the most important sectors in the pharmaceutical industry, including pain therapeutics, oncology, vaccines and biotechnology. Data was gathered on May 6, 2025.

1. VanEck Pharmaceutical ETF (NASDAQ:PPH)

Total assets under management: US$653.61 million

Established in late 2011, the VanEck Pharmaceutical ETF tracks the MVIS US Listed Pharmaceutical 25 Index. It has the capacity to provide big returns, even though there are some risks attached to the ETF. An analyst report indicates that investors looking for ‘tactical exposure’ to the pharma sector might consider this ETF as an investment option.

The ETF has 25 holdings, with the top five being Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) at a weight of 12.17 percent, AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) at 6.48 percent, Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) at 6.45 percent, Novartis (NYSE:NVS) at 5.43 percent and Cencora (NYSE:COR) at 5.34 percent.

2. iShares US Pharmaceuticals ETF (ARCA:IHE)

Total assets under management: US$571.51 million

Created on May 5, 2006, this iShares ETF tracks some of the top US pharma companies. In total, the iShares US Pharmaceuticals ETF has 41 holdings, with the vast majority being large-cap stocks.

Of its holdings, Eli Lilly and Johnson & Johnson are by far the largest portions in its portfolio, coming in at weightings of 24.55 percent and 23.38 percent, respectively. The next highest are Royalty Pharma (NASDAQ:RPRX) at 4.93 percent, Zoetis (NYSE:ZTS) at 4.80 percent and Viatris (NASDAQ:VTRS) at 4.57 percent.

3. Invesco Pharmaceuticals ETF (ARCA:PJP)

Total assets under management: US$240.1 million

The Invesco Pharmaceuticals ETF is primarily focused on providing exposure to US-based pharma companies. An analyst report states that this ETF chooses individual securities based on certain investment criteria, namely stock valuation and risk factors. Invesco changed the fund’s name from the Invesco Dynamic Pharmaceuticals ETF in August 2023.

This ETF was started on June 23, 2005, and currently tracks 31 companies. Its top holdings are Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) with a weight of 5.2 percent, AbbVie at 5.17 percent, Johnson & Johnson at 5 percent, Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD) at 4.94 percent and Eli Lilly at 4.86 percent.

4. SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF (ARCA:XPH)

Total assets under management: US$139.14 million

The SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF came into the market on June 19, 2006, and represents the pharmaceutical sub-industry sector of the S&P Total Markets Index. An analyst report for the ETF suggests that due to its narrow focus — which includes pharma giants that post ‘big returns’ during times of consolidation — it should not be considered for a long-term portfolio.

This pharma ETF tracks 43 holdings, with relatively close weighting among its holdings. XPH’s top five holdings are Corcept Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CORT) with a weight of 5.26 percent, Eli Lilly at 3.99 percent, Royalty Pharma (NASDAQ:RPRX) at 3.98 percent, Zoetis at 3.87 percent and Johnson & Johnson at 3.81 percent.

5. KraneShares MSCI All China Health Care Index ETF (ARCA:KURE)

Total assets under management: US$82.86 million

The KraneShares MSCI All China Health Care Index ETF was launched in February 2018 and tracks an index of large- and mid-cap Chinese stocks in the healthcare sector, all weighted by market capitalization. According to an analyst report, the fund provides investors with ‘exposure to a relatively small slice of the Chinese economy.’

The ETF tracks 46 holdings, and its top five are Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (SHA:600276) at 8.33 percent, BeiGene (OTC Pink:BEIGF,HKEX:6160) at 7.88 percent, Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (SZSE:300760) at 6.79 percent, Wuxi Biologics (OTC Pink:WXIBF,HKEX:2269) at 6.67 percent and Innovent Biologics (OTC Pink:IVBXF,HKEX:1801) at 5.51 percent .

Securities Disclosure: I, Melissa Pistilli, hold no investment interest in any of the companies mentioned in this article.

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Copper prices are being pushed skyward as China’s stockpiles sit on the verge of depletion and as US demand for the red metal surges, fueled by looming trade restrictions under the Trump administration.

According to Mercuria, the market is undergoing “one of the greatest tightening shocks” in its history.

“At the current pace of draws, those Chinese inventories could deplete (to zero) by the middle of June,” Nicholas Snowdon, head of metals and mining research at the commodities trading house, told the Financial Times.

“Beijing had a razor-thin inventory buffer” to meet its soaring domestic demand, he added.

Copper inventories held in Chinese warehouses fell by a record 55,000 metric tons last week alone, sinking to just 116,800 metric tons. The sudden drawdown has placed further stress on a market that is already being strained by geopolitical tensions and a shift in long-term demand driven by clean energy initiatives and electrification.

The copper squeeze is being exacerbated by US buyers rushing to secure supply ahead of potential new tariffs.

US President Donald Trump has signaled that his administration is investigating “dumping and state-sponsored overproduction” of copper, echoing the rationale used for the imposition of 25 percent levies on steel and aluminum.

Copper futures prices on the Comex in New York have soared, rising 16.35 percent year-to-date to trade for US$4.69 per pound. The rally has been further buoyed by signs that China’s Ministry of Commerce is open to trade talks with the US — it has reportedly “taken note” of Washington’s signals and is evaluating the possibility of engagement.

As a result, inventories in Comex warehouses have surged to their highest levels since 2018.

The copper crunch is not confined to refined metal.

Analysts warn that Chinese access to copper scrap — a vital feedstock for its smelting industry — is also under threat from retaliatory trade measures and possible US export controls.

China relies heavily on imported scrap, and the US remains a key supplier. In 2024, the US exported 960,000 metric tons of copper scrap, nearly half of which went to China, according to data from Fastmarkets.

This year, exports are already trending lower: 142,000 metric tons were shipped in January and February, down from 149,000 metric tons in the same period last year. If the US imposes a ban on scrap exports or China imposes retaliatory import duties, the shortage in Asia’s largest economy could become even more acute.

Copper’s strategic role in the energy transition

Beyond short-term trade politics, copper is at the heart of a deeper structural transformation.

As the global economy pivots toward electrification and decarbonization, demand for the base metal is set to soar — despite advances in material efficiency and substitution.

During a recent webinar, Michael J. Finch, head of strategic initiatives at commodities price and data firm Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, noted that the accelerating deployment of electric vehicles (EVs), EV charging infrastructure and renewable energy sources is rapidly driving up copper intensity across energy systems.

“What … we can’t forget is, what are the requirements on the grid network? What are the requirements on power generation because of EVs, because of the charging infrastructure?” Finch said. He emphasized to attendees that while copper usage per EV has declined from around 100 kilograms in 2015 to about 68 to 70 kilograms today due to design optimizations and thrifting, total copper demand from the EV sector is still expected to rise sharply.

“We’re still looking at a market here … (of) over 5 million tonnes by 2040,” he said.

“That’s going to need a lot of charging infrastructure. That’s going to need a lot of grid upgrades. That’s going to need a lot of renewable power to be put in place,’ Finch added.

The overlapping dynamics of geopolitical uncertainty, rising protectionism and shifting energy priorities have created a volatile cocktail that could reshape global copper trade flows.

Efforts are underway in the US to take advantage of this shift. European copper producer Aurubis is investing 740 million euros in a new recycling facility in Richmond, Georgia, aimed at bolstering domestic supply. The plant, which is expected to be operational by the end of the fiscal year, will rely primarily on scrap sourced within the US.

Meanwhile, analysts are watching closely to see if the US and China can defuse trade tensions before they further destabilize a market that is already stretched thin.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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